The USO ETF Is One Of ProtectVest's And AdvanceVEST's
Select, Market Indicative, Market Measuring, And Market Impacting
Focus Interest Opportunity Instruments
For The Global Light Sweet Crude Oil Market.
The USO Is A Highly Traded, Global,
And Relatively Liquid American Based ETF
Based On The Current Price Of
North American Light Sweet Crude Oil
"Positioning for change, staying ahead of the curve, we're keeping watch for you!"
THE USO ETF North American Light Sweet Crude Oil
On February 9TH 2011 MDPP Issued a strong 2-Year Cycle Pivot Reversal Alert on the USO:
"Research: A strong downdraft in the USO's 2 year backcycle occurred this week in 2009, it's bottom establishing a focal point for the current recovery uptrend. The strong downward extension two years ago WITHOUT SUFFICIENT ECHO actually FURTHER STRENGHTENS the upward price vector pressure forward, ceteris paribus, within our forecast and analysis model, starting with the completion of this phase (on Monday) of the 2-year price cycle input.
See blue 'recovery support vector' illustrated from Feb09 forward.
See upvector strength of 2-year vectors, as illustrated, and directly delineated in green: Feb-Nov07 and Feb-Nov09 echodates.
Research Generated Opinion:
ALERT
Potentially strong seasonal cycle, the six month echovector, and the 2-year cyclical upward price pressure are forming and converging, ceteris paribus.
Argument:
Observations add to validity of the long opportunity forecast, and the conservative straddle opportunity forecast.
Price reversal potentially forming in $35 dollar price range.
Further Opinion: Hedging potentially forming upward pressure on domestic gasoline prices, to protect against the potentially forming upward price potentials in gasoline, and their realization, which can follow Monday's convergences, is considered, ceteris paribus, valid.
EG: $10K into USO at $35 will be worth about $13K at $45, should a reversal this season at about $35 take place, and prices go to $45 sometime before mid-November.
X factor: Events contrarily leading to a fall in gasoline prices would further support the industrial securities market base; and, potential inducement of industrials share price advancement, ceteris paribus, in those markets could then offset the price of the USO hedge, in whole or in part.
Additional USO energy holdings could hedge against other share price and commodity price inflations, aggregated, in general, as well.
Demand-pull and cost-push inflation hedge."
Also Issued was the following USO EasyGuideChart:
On Tuesday, 3 May 2011, a SUMMARY on the February 9TH USO ALERT was issued containing the following:
Observed Confirmation, Tuesday 22 Feb 11: The researched and forecast opportunity for USO acquirement in the $35 price range last week, from the prior week's $36-37 price range, with strong price compression and vector convergences forecasted, and a 'reactive price updraft following', has been confirmed (and has take place).
See Attachment.
The USO has traded over $45 on several occasions since the bmra.mdpp ALERT on the USO was first issued in February 2011.
This bmra.mdpp USO Alert forecast a buying opportunity occurrence for the USO in the $35 price range during the trading week beginning February 14TH 2011 (with an initial price target 'closing opportunity consideration' at $45 also forecasted to likely occur within two months thereafter).
After meeting these bmra.mdpp forecasted time/price targets, on April 8 2011 USO traded as high as $45.18. Additionally, USO traded above $45 last week on certain days.
bmra.mdpp is pleased it was able to provide, on a limited basis, this USO research output and product, and these first and second USO Alerts, back in February.
Disclaimer Note: Although bmra.mdpp strives to provide the most useful and timely research and information, bmra.mdpp does not guarantee the validity nor the reliability nor the use-ability of any of its distributed or disseminated forecast model product or output. Any utilization of its product or output, or included or attached statements, illustrations, information, suggestions, or strategies, whether explicit or implied, by any reader or persons or legal entities, and used by such reader or persons or legal entities, in any manner, shape, way, or form, or for any and all purposes, is solely the responsibility of such readers, persons, or legal entities, so utilizing the product or output."
A $35 per share February purchase of the USO with a $45 sell trigger
met within three months
constitutes a 28% capital gain in the USO realized in less than one quarter year.
A prior recognition of North American crude oil's efficacious 2-year cycle mid-summer 2-year EchoVector toppy-ness was made back in the early summer of 2009. July 11TH was recognized and forecast as a 2-year EchoVector (2AEV) top at $117.40 on the USO with a full short potential, and was accompanied by a 'timing' sell trigger 2AEVEDT (2-year EchoVector EchoTradeDate) for early to mid January 2010.
See the EchoVectorVest EasyGuideChart on the USO below:
Although many Crude Oil Analyst were recommending long positions in the USO last month as we enter into the hurricane season, with Gulf oil production seasonally vulnerable, MDPP has no current Forecast Opinion on the USO.
PREPARING FOR THE LATE APRIL /EARLY MAY 2012 USO ALERT
See Blog: Current USO ETF Trader's Edge EasyGuideChart By ProtectVEST And AdvanceVEST, EchoVectorVEST, MDPP
Apr 28, 2012 3:35 PM |
About stocks: USO ETF
________________________________________________________________________________
A Current USO ETF EchoVector And EchoBackDate Price Analysis:
Is Seasonal Price History Unfolding Again?
Apr 29, 2012 2:35 PM
Current USO ETF Trader's Edge EasyGuideChart By ProtectVEST And AdvanceVEST, EchoVectorVEST, MDPP
There has been a tremendous amount of interest and much media attention given to the energy markets recently, particularly to to the market prices of crude oil and gasoline. The 'seasonal' February through April price strength period has manifested itself yet once again this year with vigor.
Provided below is an excellent graphical illustration of this year's price seasonality, and much more. Provided also is a significant graphical illustration of the many regular annual price 'ebbs and flows' experienced in the USO ETF the last several years.
A close examination of the chart below can significantly aid the portfolio manager and the trader in the management of their market position analysis and responsibilities and their resasonable forecasts in the USO ETF, and related ETF's, and commodity futures, and indexes with an emphasis on seasonal and historical conditions and historical price patterns... and echovectors.
Key notes of interest and suggestive analysis are presented below the chart.
ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by EchoVectorVEST
Divisions of Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots
Bradford Market Research and Analytics
"We're keeping watch for you!"
USO ETF
Trader's Edge Master EasyGuideChart
4-Year Weekly OHLC Chart
With Key Active Annual EchoVectors And Annual EchoBackWeeks's Highlighted:
EchoBackWeeks
EchoBackDates
EchoBackPoints
EchoBackPeriods, and
EchoVectors
See and enlarge chart located at websites hightlighted in gold above:
1. Be aware of month 4 in the Annual and Bi-Annual Cycles
2. Note first 3 weeks of month 5.
3. Note the 'price level low' of the first week of May, and how it proves to be 'around the top or close to the sell-down price level,' which occurs at end of July and the beginning of August's 'mid-2nd-to-3rd week's summer top.'
4. Be aware of momentum reversal at the end of September and the beginning of October, following the downside price consolidation.
5. Be aware of 'the about one Quarter's earlier in time' momentum bottom occuring at the end of June/early July. Note that the reversal is good for price updraft for the first month, of three subsequent months (up-down completing in October) and failing (beginning down around the beginning of August. This forms a cone with June/July and Sept/Oct bottoms with an August 'pointed top'.
6. In our view, these are significant seasonal relative strength reversal periods and indicators. EchoVectors and EchoVector EchoBackDates are significant in the analysis, forecast, and current price and price level measurements here.
7. Note the importance of week 6 low and the week 9 high, and sell-off from week 9 to week 11, in the Winter EchoVector Quarter (following the prior fall and summer quarterly weekly High and Low weekly momentum pattern deltas, withinin a quarterly and bi-quarterly echovector and echobackvector analysis, focusing on key EchoBackWeek highs and lows.
Within your own working analytic frame, re-topologize the 3 -Year OHLC daily price action charts for further definition and precision revelation, and then re-topologize those further to 'hourly intra-day and further discrete price action for even further 'resolution and revelation'. Then overlay this data with regular announcement schedule information, special inventory and/or production announcement information occurances, and further with related macro-event impacting announcements... all for increased and even further definition, forecast, and management insight and effectiveness.
See www.EchoVectorVEST.Blogspot.com
www.echovectorvest.com
www.motiondynamicsandprecisionpivots.com
ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST by EchoVectorVEST
Divisions of Motion Dynamics and Precision Pivots
Bradford Market Research and Analytics
"We're keeping watch for you!"
This article is tagged with: ETF Analysis
USO ETF 2011 ARCHIVE: The Winter-Spring LONG
USO ETF 2010 ARCHIVE: The Summer SHORT Forecast
THE EARLY FEBRUARY 2012 USO ALERT
Tuesday 8 February 2012 WEEK 6: Pre-Market: EARLY MORNING TRADING
USO Seasonal Price Alert
USO Upward Seasonal Price Hedge.
Long Opportunity on USO this week: OOTVTP: $37.00
CCEV, AEV, 2QEV, and QEV Forecast Bases Weighted Price Target Alert.
ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST
"We're keeping watch for you"
THE EARLY FEBRUARY 2012 USO ALERT CHRONICLE
2/7/12 USO ALERT IN EFFECT:
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=3611554418304945429
2/9/12 PRICE MAPPING THE USO:
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=583447071184128674
2/10/12 USO SEASONAL PRICE ALERT STATUS
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=2112224466810484980
2/10/12 USO FRIDAY 10FEBRUARY 2012 MANAGING ALERT GAINS
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=1953930229673458916
2/11/12 USO: SATURDAY 11 FEBRUARY 2012
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=7513360819198083398
2/21/12 USO SEASONAL PRICE ALERT STATUS MONDAY 21 FEBRUARY
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=2884240287510637305
2/21/12 USO SEASONAL PRICE ALERT STATUS MONDAY 21 FEBRUARY
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=6204355749569530700
2/23/12 USO RESET THE OOTV TO $41.35 FOR CAPITAL GAIN LOCK
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=1775432221434781657
2/26/12 USO SEASONAL PRICE ALERT STATUS FRIDAY 24 FEBRUARY
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=7607981473227452407
2/27/12 USO CHRONOLOGICAL HIGHLIGHTS ON RECENT ALRETS
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=5680866356596293623
2/27/12USO/QM UPDATE MONDAY27 FEBRUARY
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=8369246608605815547
2/27/12USO FINANCIAL PHYSICS AND PRICE VECTOR ANALYSIS
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=5680866356596293623
2/28/12 USO OOTV TARGET ISSUED AT $42 LAST WEEK GENERATES SIGNIFICANT CAPITAL GAIN LOCK FROM INITIAL SEASONAL ALERT OPEN TARGET AT $36.75
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=3185471937811548524
INTERNAL REFERENCE LINK: http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2012/02/uso-qm-update.html
THE LATE APRIL / EARLY MAY 2012 USO ALERT CHRONICLE
4/27/12 USO ETF: Price Insurance Application ALERT for Next Week (With Chart)
4/28/12 Current USO ETF Trader's Edge EasyGuideChart By ProtectVEST And AdvanceVEST, EchoVectorVEST, MDPP
4/30/12 A Current USO ETF EchoVector And EchoBackDate Price Analysis:Is Seasonal Price History Unfolding Again?
5/1/12 MAJOR ALERT REITERATIONS: DIA and USO
THE LATE APRIL / EARLY MAY 2012 USO ALERT PRELIMINARY RESULTS
5//4/12 USO and MAJOR MARKET ALERT RESULTS FOR FRIDAY4 MAY 2012, WITH FULFILLING OPTIONS STRATEGY
5/6/12 USO Position Adjustment Alert
http://www.blogger.com/blogger.g?blogID=8759701678401263237#editor/target=post;postID=464035248805038310
5/7/12 USO
USO ETF ARCHIVED SAMPLE CHARTS & OTAPS ALERTS
THE LATE APRIL / EARLY MAY 2012 USO ALERTS
FRIDAY, APRIL 27, 2012
USO ETF: Price Insurance Application ALERT for Next Week.
FullNetPositionInsuranceAlert: FNPosI
TUESDAY, MAY 12012 MAJOR ALERT
LIGHT SWEET CRUDE OIL SECTOR ALERT
USO ETF ALERT:
Fully Cover Full Net Stock Position with Insurance
Major Double to Quad Short Opportunity in the USO
USE USO May 19 2012 38 to 40 Puts for Alternative Double/Quad Short Opportunity Positioning
Stay Nimble. UFN (Until Further Notice)
MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS Model-Generated
And Analysis
Highlighted With Key Active Focus Interest EchoVectors,
EchoBackDates, EchoBackTimePoints,
Coordinated Forecast EchoVectors,
and Potential Focus Interest Opportunity
USO ETF ARCHIVE: The Winter LONG
And The Spring SHORT Of Year 2012
PERUSE ARCHIVED INFORMATION ON THE PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS WINTER 2013 SHORTAND SPRING AND SUMMER 2013 LONGS
AT
WITH LIGHT SWEET CRUDE
OIL FUTURES: /QM AND /CL
PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS
oilpivots.com commoditypivots.com etfpivots.com echovectorvest.com echovectorpivotpoints.com motiondynamicsandprecisionpivots.com
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